Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.229434 0.271456 0.316322 0.367511 0.424022 0.484240 0.552994
2024-10-27 0.175638 0.232646 0.297892 0.376979 0.469155 0.572162 0.694931
2024-11-03 0.138426 0.204529 0.285258 0.388470 0.514348 0.660473 0.840487
2024-11-10 0.110437 0.181922 0.274842 0.399544 0.557758 0.747375 0.987336
2024-11-17 0.083098 0.154527 0.253802 0.393779 0.578349 0.806317 1.102028
2024-11-24 0.065567 0.137124 0.242985 0.398914 0.611374 0.880399 1.236388
2024-12-01 0.049208 0.117646 0.226049 0.393139 0.628408 0.933624 1.345257
2024-12-08 0.034775 0.097433 0.204646 0.378124 0.630790 0.966632 1.428104
2024-12-15 0.027756 0.088792 0.199858 0.386297 0.664643 1.041095 1.565193
2024-12-22 0.019896 0.075798 0.185671 0.378369 0.674401 1.082704 1.659507
2024-12-29 0.016890 0.072697 0.188156 0.396372 0.721952 1.176394 1.824020
2025-01-05 0.012592 0.064667 0.180291 0.396626 0.742703 1.233118 1.939733
2025-01-12 0.009246 0.057784 0.173806 0.398994 0.767284 1.296747 2.067554
2025-01-19 0.007287 0.054163 0.173293 0.411354 0.807432 1.383146 2.227870
2025-01-26 0.005770 0.051191 0.173628 0.425002 0.849789 1.473359 2.394685
2025-02-02 0.004488 0.048249 0.173528 0.437671 0.890798 1.562268 2.560925
2025-02-09 0.002809 0.041732 0.163992 0.432084 0.902055 1.607874 2.667401
2025-02-16 0.001921 0.038141 0.160758 0.437885 0.931670 1.680647 2.812648
2025-02-23 0.001053 0.032804 0.151906 0.431934 0.941361 1.723772 2.916395
2025-03-02 0.000410 0.026528 0.138776 0.416046 0.933325 1.739711 2.981265
2025-03-09 0.000229 0.024638 0.137820 0.424836 0.967338 1.819509 3.138241
2025-03-16 0.000060 0.020596 0.129098 0.416423 0.971066 1.852930 3.228612
2025-03-23 0.000035 0.020443 0.133099 0.435649 1.023619 1.962057 3.429685